NCAA Tournament March Madness

#153 Arkansas St

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Projected seed: 15 (automatic qualifier)

Arkansas State’s resume reads like a team that can pile up statement wins against modest mid‑majors but cannot quite pass the eye test when judged against top nonconference opponents and on the road, and that combination explains why its place on the bracket looks like the automatic‑qualifier lane. The best moments include gritty road victories at Ohio and Missouri State and convincing wins over Southern Miss and Louisiana plus blowout home results against ULM and Bowling Green that show the offense can take over games. The worst moments are the one‑sided losses at SMU and at St. Mary’s and a string of damaging conference setbacks at Troy, Georgia State, Old Dominion and Marshall that exposed defensive vulnerability and an inability to close tight games on the road, as in the narrow defeats at Rice and Georgia State. With quality wins scarce and several high‑visibility losses on the résumé, the simplest and most realistic path to the NCAA field is to secure the Sun Belt tournament title.

Date Opponent Ranking Outcome
11/3@Ohio227W89-85
11/7@SF Austin86L90-65
11/11@Missouri St202W86-85
11/19@St Mary's CA22L85-72
11/21@SMU43L100-69
11/24Jacksonville St207W74-63
11/28N Dakota St117W85-80
12/2UT Arlington160W83-63
12/6@Ark Little Rock308W90-78
12/13@Rice223L77-76
12/17@Texas St244W89-70
12/20@Southern Miss221W93-86
1/3James Madison214L78-74
1/7Troy158W86-74
1/10Texas St244W83-82
1/15@South Alabama206L91-87
1/17@Troy158L99-74
1/22@Ga Southern250W85-68
1/24@Georgia St310L82-81
1/28Old Dominion248L75-71
1/31Marshall196L70-61
2/4@Coastal Car229W70-66
2/7Bowling Green149W91-54
2/11ULM350W103-70
2/14South Alabama206L92-88
2/19@Louisiana315W79-62
2/21@ULM350W102-94
2/24Southern Miss221W89-84
2/27Louisiana315W81-58
3/5(N)Ga Southern25070%