NCAA Tournament March Madness

#149 Arkansas St

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Projection: need to automatically qualify

Arkansas State’s résumé is anchored by eye-catching road victories at Ohio and Missouri State that prove it can win away from home, but those moments are undercut by ugly road losses at SF Austin and SMU and a revealing defeat at St. Mary’s that exposed inconsistency. Most of the other wins have come against lesser opposition at home, with Jacksonville State, North Dakota State and UT Arlington doing little to provide a signature quality win, so the nonconference body of work lacks a marquee scalp. The rest of the season matters because there are real chances to change the narrative with road tests at Rice and Texas State, important home dates against Old Dominion and Marshall, and trips to Louisiana and Southern Miss that would carry weight on a committee’s ledger. In short, the best moments give this team some credibility but the hard losses and the scarcity of sustained top-level victories keep it on the bubble until those upcoming opportunities are taken.

Date Opponent Ranking Outcome
11/3@Ohio199W89-85
11/7@SF Austin143L90-65
11/11@Missouri St260W86-85
11/19@St Mary's CA32L85-72
11/21@SMU40L100-69
11/24Jacksonville St239W74-63
11/28N Dakota St156W85-80
12/2UT Arlington168W83-63
12/6@Ark Little Rock323W90-78
12/13@Rice21553%
12/17@Texas St23856%
12/20@Southern Miss20050%
1/3James Madison18669%
1/4James Madison18669%
1/7Troy14860%
1/10Texas St23876%
1/15@South Alabama17244%
1/17@Troy14838%
1/22@Ga Southern23756%
1/24@Georgia St33879%
1/28Old Dominion22074%
1/31Marshall15262%
2/4@Coastal Car21853%
2/11ULM35495%
2/14South Alabama17266%
2/19@Louisiana32975%
2/21@ULM35485%
2/24Southern Miss20071%
2/27Louisiana32989%