NCAA Tournament March Madness

#154 Arkansas St

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Projection: need to automatically qualify

Arkansas State projects to need the Sun Belt's automatic qualifier because its résumé lacks a standout nonconference win and is colored by blowout road defeats at St. Mary's and SMU that highlight clear defensive vulnerabilities. The season's best moments — gritty road victories at Ohio and Missouri State and hard-fought wins over Troy and Texas State — show the team can win in hostile environments and close games, but those positives are muted by close losses and inconsistency away from home. The remaining slate hands Arkansas State home chances against Old Dominion, Marshall and Southern Miss along with winnable conference trips to Georgia Southern and Louisiana, so the simplest path to the NCAA field is a strong finish and a conference tournament title rather than relying on shaky résumé arguments.

Date Opponent Ranking Outcome
11/3@Ohio221W89-85
11/7@SF Austin95L90-65
11/11@Missouri St206W86-85
11/19@St Mary's CA32L85-72
11/21@SMU31L100-69
11/24Jacksonville St235W74-63
11/28N Dakota St140W85-80
12/2UT Arlington143W83-63
12/6@Ark Little Rock292W90-78
12/13@Rice241L77-76
12/17@Texas St271W89-70
12/20@Southern Miss230W93-86
1/3James Madison239L78-74
1/7Troy113W86-74
1/10Texas St271W83-82
1/15@South Alabama208L91-87
1/17@Troy113L99-74
1/22@Ga Southern24457%
1/24@Georgia St27765%
1/28Old Dominion24276%
1/31Marshall16764%
2/4@Coastal Car24757%
2/7Bowling Green11250%
2/11ULM35896%
2/14South Alabama20872%
2/19@Louisiana33077%
2/21@ULM35888%
2/24Southern Miss23074%
2/27Louisiana33090%